Alcobendas Sport vs Las Rozas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, Majadahonda
The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcobendas Sport vs Las Rozas?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Alcobendas Sport (1,718) and Las Rozas (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcobendas Sport have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Las Rozas have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | AD Parla(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Alcorcón II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 31, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 24, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Torrejón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Galapagar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Alcobendas Sport win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Las Rozas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Las Rozas 1-1 Alcobendas Sport | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Alcobendas Sport 2-2 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Alcobendas Sport 0-0 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Las Rozas 1-1 Alcobendas Sport | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 1, 2024 | Las Rozas 2-1 Alcobendas Sport | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Alcobendas Sport 0-2 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Alcobendas Sport on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcobendas Sport | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Las Rozas | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcobendas Sport sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (45 points from 34 matches) and Las Rozas sit 4th (56 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 56 |
| 11 | Alcobendas Sport | 34 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 49 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcobendas Sport vs Las Rozas?
- The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Alcobendas Sport.
- Where and when is Alcobendas Sport vs Las Rozas played?
- Alcobendas Sport vs Las Rozas is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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