Colonia Moscardó vs Rayo Vallecano II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Valero, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colonia Moscardó vs Rayo Vallecano II?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Colonia Moscardó (1,768) and Rayo Vallecano II (1,718).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colonia Moscardó have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Rayo Vallecano II have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Colonia Moscardó win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Rayo Vallecano II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó 4-0 Rayo Vallecano II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 Colonia Moscardó | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Colonia Moscardó 3-2 Rayo Vallecano II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Rayo Vallecano II 0-2 Colonia Moscardó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Rayo Vallecano II 4-0 Colonia Moscardó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Colonia Moscardó 0-2 Rayo Vallecano II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Colonia Moscardó vs Rayo Vallecano II on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colonia Moscardó | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Rayo Vallecano II | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colonia Moscardó vs Rayo Vallecano II?
- The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Rayo Vallecano II.
- Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Rayo Vallecano II played?
- Colonia Moscardó vs Rayo Vallecano II is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.