RC Alcobendas vs Galapagar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes RC Alcobendas the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1. If RC Alcobendas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RC Alcobendas vs Galapagar?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate RC Alcobendas (1,744) and Galapagar (1,739).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for RC Alcobendas vs Galapagar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
RC Alcobendas
Not enough data to predict the RC Alcobendas lineup.
Galapagar
Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, RC Alcobendas have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Galapagar have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Móstoles(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
RC Alcobendas score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 7; Galapagar score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC Alcobendas | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 6/7 | 5/7 |
| Galapagar | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RC Alcobendas sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (8 points from 7 matches) and Galapagar sit 8th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Galapagar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | RC Alcobendas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 8 |
A question about RC Alcobendas vs Galapagar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RC Alcobendas vs Galapagar?
- The Footlab AI model makes RC Alcobendas the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Galapagar.
- Where and when is RC Alcobendas vs Galapagar played?
- RC Alcobendas vs Galapagar is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 7, 2027Alcobendas SportvsLas Rozas
- Mar 7, 2027MóstolesvsVillanueva Pardillo
- Mar 7, 2027TorrejónvsPozuelo Alarcón
- Mar 7, 2027Trival ValderasvsLeganés II
- Mar 7, 2027Unión AdarvevsParla Escuela
- Mar 7, 2027Colonia MoscardóvsRayo Vallecano II
- Mar 7, 2027SS Reyes IIvsCala Pozuelo