Móstoles vs Villanueva Pardillo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Soto, Móstoles
The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Villanueva Pardillo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Móstoles wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Móstoles vs Villanueva Pardillo?
On Elo ratings, Móstoles has 1,793 points and Villanueva Pardillo 1,705.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Móstoles vs Villanueva Pardillo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Móstoles
Not enough data to predict the Móstoles lineup.
Villanueva Pardillo
4-3-3- PPablo Sánchez Flores Casanova
- CChuky
- KKoh Ji-Soung
- RRulo Alonso
- JJorge Sánchez
- AAndrés Alcaide Jimenez
- AAnder DÃaz
- JJosele
- CCarlos Albares
- JJorge MartÃnez
- JJosé Damián Climent Requena
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Móstoles have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Villanueva Pardillo have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Unión Adarve(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Unión Adarve(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torrejón(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Móstoles wins, 0 draws, 1 Villanueva Pardillo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Móstoles 3-5 Villanueva Pardillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo 1-2 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Móstoles 2-0 Villanueva Pardillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Villanueva Pardillo 0-3 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Móstoles vs Villanueva Pardillo on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Móstoles score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Móstoles | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Villanueva Pardillo | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Móstoles sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (11 points from 6 matches) and Villanueva Pardillo sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Móstoles | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 17 | Villanueva Pardillo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Móstoles vs Villanueva Pardillo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Móstoles vs Villanueva Pardillo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Villanueva Pardillo.
- Where and when is Móstoles vs Villanueva Pardillo played?
- Móstoles vs Villanueva Pardillo is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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