Alcobendas Sport vs Rayo Vallecano II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, Majadahonda
The Footlab model makes Alcobendas Sport the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcobendas Sport vs Rayo Vallecano II?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Alcobendas Sport (1,718) and Rayo Vallecano II (1,718).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcobendas Sport have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Rayo Vallecano II have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | AD Parla(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Alcorcón II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alcobendas Sport win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Rayo Vallecano II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Rayo Vallecano II 4-1 Alcobendas Sport | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Alcobendas Sport 0-3 Rayo Vallecano II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Rayo Vallecano II 1-3 Alcobendas Sport | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Alcobendas Sport 1-1 Rayo Vallecano II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Rayo Vallecano II 1-2 Alcobendas Sport | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Alcobendas Sport 1-0 Rayo Vallecano II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Alcobendas Sport on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcobendas Sport | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Rayo Vallecano II | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Alcobendas Sport | 34 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 49 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcobendas Sport vs Rayo Vallecano II?
- The Footlab model makes Alcobendas Sport the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Rayo Vallecano II.
- Where and when is Alcobendas Sport vs Rayo Vallecano II played?
- Alcobendas Sport vs Rayo Vallecano II is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.