Match

Unión Adarve vs Pozuelo Alarcón: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid

Unión AdarvePozuelo Alarcón

The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unión Adarve vs Pozuelo Alarcón?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Unión Adarve (1,799) and Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721).

Unión Adarve win49 %
Draw26 %
Pozuelo Alarcón win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Pozuelo Alarcón have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unión Adarve
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Racing Madrid(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Las Rozas(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Galapagar(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Villaverde-Boetticher(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026A Madrid III(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo Alarcón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Marchamalo(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Tres Cantos(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Carabanchel(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Móstoles(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026SS Reyes II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Unión Adarve win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Pozuelo Alarcón 2-2 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 16, 2025Unión Adarve 1-1 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 14, 2021Unión Adarve 1-2 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 13, 2020Pozuelo Alarcón 2-3 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 12, 2020Pozuelo Alarcón 1-0 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Aug 25, 2019Unión Adarve 1-0 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Pozuelo Alarcón vs Unión Adarve on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unión Adarve1.81.166/159/15
Pozuelo Alarcón1.11.227/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unión Adarve sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (53 points from 34 matches) and Pozuelo Alarcón sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Unión Adarve3415811484253
9Pozuelo Alarcón34121210403348

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Pozuelo Alarcón?
The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?
Unión Adarve vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Unión Adarve and Pozuelo Alarcón

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