Unión Adarve vs Pozuelo Alarcón: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Adarve vs Pozuelo Alarcón?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Unión Adarve (1,799) and Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Pozuelo Alarcón have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Racing Madrid(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villaverde-Boetticher(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Marchamalo(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Tres Cantos(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Carabanchel(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | SS Reyes II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Unión Adarve win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón 2-2 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Unión Adarve 1-1 Pozuelo Alarcón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Unión Adarve 1-2 Pozuelo Alarcón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Pozuelo Alarcón 2-3 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 12, 2020 | Pozuelo Alarcón 1-0 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Unión Adarve 1-0 Pozuelo Alarcón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Pozuelo Alarcón vs Unión Adarve on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Adarve | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Pozuelo Alarcón | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Adarve sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (53 points from 34 matches) and Pozuelo Alarcón sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Unión Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 53 |
| 9 | Pozuelo Alarcón | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40 | 33 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Pozuelo Alarcón?
- The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
- Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?
- Unión Adarve vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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