Match

Fuenlabrada vs Las Rozas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada

FuenlabradaLas Rozas

The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Las Rozas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fuenlabrada vs Las Rozas?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Fuenlabrada (1,785) and Las Rozas (1,779).

Fuenlabrada win38 %
Draw27 %
Las Rozas win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fuenlabrada have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Las Rozas have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fuenlabrada
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Navalcarnero(away)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Socuéllamos(away)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026RSD Alcalá(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Quintanar del Rey(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Las Rozas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026Torrejón(away)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Torrejón(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Galapagar(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fuenlabrada0.81.537/157/15
Las Rozas1.71.558/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Las Rozas3416810584256

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fuenlabrada vs Las Rozas?
The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Las Rozas.
Where and when is Fuenlabrada vs Las Rozas played?
Fuenlabrada vs Las Rozas is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Torres, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fuenlabrada and Las Rozas

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