Torrejón vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Veredillas, Torrejón de Ardoz
The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torrejón vs Real Aranjuez?
Torrejón starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,540).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torrejón have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | AD Parla(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Alcorcón II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Madrid 2021 FP(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | RSC Internacional(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 0-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Galapagar(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Torrejón win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Real Aranjuez win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | Torrejón 4-2 Real Aranjuez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Real Aranjuez 3-0 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Torrejón vs Real Aranjuez on Feb 19, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Torrejón score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrejón | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Aranjuez | 0.6 | 2.2 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Torrejón | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 46 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torrejón vs Real Aranjuez?
- The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Real Aranjuez.
- Where and when is Torrejón vs Real Aranjuez played?
- Torrejón vs Real Aranjuez is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Veredillas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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