Alcorcon vs Águilas: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 35Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santo Domingo, Alcorcón
The Footlab AI model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Águilas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcorcon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Águilas?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Alcorcon (1,927) and Águilas (1,930).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcorcon vs Águilas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcorcon
4-3-3- 9Davo
- 7E. Aparicio
- 11O. Ouhdadi
- 10L. Vacas
- 6Pablo Rivera
- 8T. Caravaca
- 17Miguel Cuesta
- 5Lancho
- 22X. Irurita
- 3Arnau Gaixas
- 13Miguel Bañuz
Águilas
4-3-3- 11Josema Raigal
- 19G. Serrano Iranzo
- 10Javi Castedo
- 8Mario Abenza
- 5A. Perez
- 6Y. El Arbaoui
- 3José Mas
- 2Johan Terranova
- 22Álex Revuelta
- 4Antonio Sánchez
- 13Jose Salcedo
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcorcon have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Águilas have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 5-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Alcorcon wins, 1 draw, 0 Águilas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Águilas 2-2 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcorcon score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Águilas | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcorcon sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (12 points from 7 matches) and Águilas sit 17th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alcorcon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 |
| 17 | Águilas | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Alcorcon vs Águilas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcorcon vs Águilas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Águilas.
- Where and when is Alcorcon vs Águilas played?
- Alcorcon vs Águilas is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santo Domingo, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.