Match

Real Murcia vs Ibiza: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia

Real MurciaIbiza

The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Ibiza. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Murcia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,993 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Murcia vs Ibiza?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Real Murcia (1,972) and Ibiza (1,953).

47%28%25%
Real Murcia winDrawIbiza win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Murcia vs Ibiza

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Murcia

4-3-3
  1. 19Joel Jorquera
  2. 23D. Flakus Bosilj
  3. 17Javi Moreno
  1. 8Javi Mier
  2. 14Palmberg
  3. 10Chema Núñez
  1. 2Jorge Mier
  2. 15Óscar Gil
  3. 3Cristo
  4. 4H. Perez
  1. 13Dani Jiménez

Ibiza

4-3-3
  1. 9Manu Justo
  2. 10Ander Yoldi
  3. 21José Carlos Lazo
  1. 17T. Valls
  2. 6Josep Calavera
  3. 20Pedro Ortiz
  1. 18David Astals
  2. 3Víctor García
  3. 4J. Blasco
  4. 24Erik Ruiz
  1. 1Andrés Prieto

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 08:47 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Murcia have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ibiza have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Murcia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Zaragoza(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 11, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 7, 2026FC Cartagena(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Gimnastic(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 30, 2026Navalcarnero(away)1-3Copa Federacion
Ibiza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Águilas(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 9, 2026Real Madrid II(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Villarreal II(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 25, 2026Zaragoza(home)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 19, 2026Real Jaén(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Murcia wins, 1 draw, 3 Ibiza wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026Ibiza 2-0 Real MurciaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 19, 2025Real Murcia 0-2 IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Mar 2, 2025Real Murcia 0-2 IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 30, 2024Ibiza 1-2 Real MurciaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Jul 30, 2024Real Murcia 2-1 IbizaFriendlies Clubs
Mar 17, 2024Real Murcia 0-0 IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Ibiza vs Real Murcia on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Murcia score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ibiza score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Murcia1.71.148/159/15
Ibiza1.81.168/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Murcia sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (16 points from 8 matches) and Ibiza sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Real Murcia851211716
7Ibiza8413111013

A question about Real Murcia vs Ibiza?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Murcia vs Ibiza?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Ibiza.
Where and when is Real Murcia vs Ibiza played?
Real Murcia vs Ibiza is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Real Murcia and Ibiza

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