Zaragoza vs Alcorcon: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Romareda, Zaragoza
The Footlab AI model makes Zaragoza the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Alcorcon. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaragoza vs Alcorcon?
On Elo ratings, Zaragoza has 1,910 points and Alcorcon 1,927.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zaragoza vs Alcorcon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zaragoza
4-3-3- 11Jaume Jardí
- 25Marco Sangalli
- 22Edu Espiau
- 16Lucas Terrer
- 6P. Ademo
- 19Jamelli
- 21Diego González
- 14Rubo Iranzo
- 3R. Pereira
- 18Sergio Escudero
- 1S. Westerveld
Alcorcon
4-3-3- 9Davo
- 7E. Aparicio
- 11O. Ouhdadi
- 10L. Vacas
- 6Pablo Rivera
- 8T. Caravaca
- 17Miguel Cuesta
- 5Lancho
- 22X. Irurita
- 3Arnau Gaixas
- 13Miguel Bañuz
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaragoza have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Alcorcon have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 4-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 4-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 4-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 5-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zaragoza win, 1 draw, 4 Alcorcon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | Alcorcon 0-0 Zaragoza | Segunda División |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Zaragoza 0-2 Alcorcon | Segunda División |
| May 8, 2022 | Zaragoza 0-3 Alcorcon | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Alcorcon 1-2 Zaragoza | Segunda División |
| Feb 22, 2021 | Zaragoza 0-1 Alcorcon | Segunda División |
| Jan 5, 2021 | Alcorcon 2-1 Zaragoza | Copa del Rey |
How many goals should we expect?
Zaragoza score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Alcorcon score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Alcorcon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zaragoza sit 1st in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (16 points from 7 matches) and Alcorcon sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Alcorcon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 |
A question about Zaragoza vs Alcorcon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaragoza vs Alcorcon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zaragoza the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Alcorcon.
- Where and when is Zaragoza vs Alcorcon played?
- Zaragoza vs Alcorcon is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Romareda, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.