Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Neuer Tivoli, Aachen
The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Alemannia Aachen starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (2,028 vs 1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alemannia Aachen have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Verl(home) | 4-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Roda(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 10, 2026 | SV Breinig(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Alemannia Aachen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | Alemannia Aachen 0-4 Fortuna Düsseldorf | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 27, 2012 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-0 Alemannia Aachen | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 27, 2011 | Alemannia Aachen 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf on Jul 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Alemannia Aachen score 3.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alemannia Aachen | 3.0 | 0.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alemannia Aachen sit 4th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Alemannia Aachen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
- The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
- Where and when is Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?
- Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Neuer Tivoli, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 19, 2026FC Viktoria KölnvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Sep 19, 2026Rot-Weiß EssenvsHansa Rostock
- Sep 19, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Sep 19, 2026VerlvsWürzburger Kickers
- Sep 19, 2026Waldhof MannheimvsPreußen Münster
- Sep 19, 2026HavelsevsFortuna Köln
- Sep 19, 2026Hoffenheim IIvsSV Meppen