Verl vs Würzburger Kickers: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl
The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Verl. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verl vs Würzburger Kickers?
Würzburger Kickers starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (2,087 vs 1,971).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Würzburger Kickers have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 2-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 1-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | SV Wehen(home) | 4-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(away) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs |
| May 28, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Verl win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Würzburger Kickers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2022 | Verl 2-0 Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2021 | Würzburger Kickers 0-1 Verl | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Verl vs Würzburger Kickers on Jan 16, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Verl score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Würzburger Kickers score 2.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verl | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Würzburger Kickers | 2.9 | 0.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verl sit 19th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Würzburger Kickers sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Würzburger Kickers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 19 | Verl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verl vs Würzburger Kickers?
- The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Verl.
- Where and when is Verl vs Würzburger Kickers played?
- Verl vs Würzburger Kickers is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026SV WehenvsMSV Duisburg
- Sep 19, 2026FC Viktoria KölnvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Sep 19, 2026Rot-Weiß EssenvsHansa Rostock
- Sep 19, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Sep 19, 2026Alemannia AachenvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Sep 19, 2026Waldhof MannheimvsPreußen Münster
- Sep 19, 2026HavelsevsFortuna Köln
- Sep 19, 2026Hoffenheim IIvsSV Meppen