Bury vs Bamber Bridge: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Bamber Bridge. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bury vs Bamber Bridge?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 298-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,660).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bury vs Bamber Bridge
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Bamber Bridge
Not enough data to predict the Bamber Bridge lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Bamber Bridge have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 4-3 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Workington(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 2-4 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 2.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bamber Bridge score 1.3 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 2.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Bamber Bridge | 1.3 | 2.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (19 points from 11 matches) and Bamber Bridge sit 20th (10 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 10 |
A question about Bury vs Bamber Bridge?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bury vs Bamber Bridge?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Bamber Bridge.
- Where and when is Bury vs Bamber Bridge played?
- Bury vs Bamber Bridge is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gigg Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 17, 2027Ashton UnitedvsWorkington
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