Match

Bury vs Bamber Bridge: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire

BuryBamber Bridge

The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Bamber Bridge. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bury vs Bamber Bridge?

Bury starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (1,897 vs 1,659).

Bury win63 %
Draw22 %
Bamber Bridge win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Bamber Bridge have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Lancaster City(home)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(away)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Guiseley AFC(away)2-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Rylands(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Curzon Ashton(home)3-2Non League Premier - Northern
Bamber Bridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026United of Manchester(home)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Leek Town(away)1-4Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Curzon Ashton(away)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Ashton United(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Avro(home)1-6Non League Premier - Northern

How many goals should we expect?

Bury score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bamber Bridge score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bury1.90.867/158/15
Bamber Bridge0.92.519/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bury sit 8th in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 6 matches) and Bamber Bridge sit 19th (5 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Bury63127610
19Bamber Bridge61236155

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bury vs Bamber Bridge?
The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Bamber Bridge.
Where and when is Bury vs Bamber Bridge played?
Bury vs Bamber Bridge is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gigg Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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