Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The myenergi Stadium, Grimsby, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Lancaster City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Cleethorpes Town (1,830) and Lancaster City (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cleethorpes Town have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Lancaster City have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 6-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cleethorpes Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Lancaster City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Lancaster City 0-0 Cleethorpes Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Cleethorpes Town 2-2 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Lancaster City vs Cleethorpes Town on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cleethorpes Town score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lancaster City score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleethorpes Town | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lancaster City | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cleethorpes Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Northern (16 points from 6 matches) and Lancaster City sit 13th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
| 13 | Lancaster City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City?
- The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Lancaster City.
- Where and when is Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City played?
- Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The myenergi Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.