Ashton United vs Workington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Ashton United the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Workington. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ashton United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,593 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashton United vs Workington?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Ashton United (1,797) and Workington (1,791).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ashton United vs Workington
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ashton United
Not enough data to predict the Ashton United lineup.
Workington
Not enough data to predict the Workington lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashton United have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Workington have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ashton United wins, 2 draws, 2 Workington wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ashton United 2-1 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Workington 1-1 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Workington 5-1 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Ashton United 3-0 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Ashton United 2-2 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Workington 5-0 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Ashton United vs Workington on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Workington score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton United | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Workington | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashton United sit 16th in Non League Premier - Northern (14 points from 13 matches) and Workington sit 6th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
| 16 | Ashton United | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Ashton United vs Workington?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashton United vs Workington?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ashton United the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Workington.
- Where and when is Ashton United vs Workington played?
- Ashton United vs Workington is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hurst Cross, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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