Ashton United vs Workington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Ashton United the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Workington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashton United vs Workington?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Ashton United (1,753) and Workington (1,693).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashton United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Workington have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ashton United win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Workington win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ashton United 2-1 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Workington 1-1 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Workington 5-1 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Ashton United 3-0 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Ashton United 2-2 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Workington 5-0 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Ashton United vs Workington on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Workington score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton United | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Workington | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashton United sit 6th in Non League Premier - Northern (11 points from 6 matches) and Workington sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ashton United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 12 | Workington | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashton United vs Workington?
- The Footlab model makes Ashton United the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Workington.
- Where and when is Ashton United vs Workington played?
- Ashton United vs Workington is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hurst Cross, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027BuryvsBamber Bridge
- Apr 17, 2027Alfreton TownvsQuorn
- Apr 17, 2027Gainsborough TrinityvsRylands
- Apr 17, 2027Curzon AshtonvsStockton Town
- Apr 17, 2027Ilkeston TownvsLeek Town
- Apr 17, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsLancaster City
- Apr 17, 2027United of ManchestervsGuiseley AFC
- Apr 17, 2027Warrington TownvsAvro