Alga vs Ozgon: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dordoy, Bishkek
The Footlab AI model makes Alga the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Ozgon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alga wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 3,331 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alga vs Ozgon?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Alga (1,533) and Ozgon (1,562).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alga vs Ozgon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alga
Not enough data to predict the Alga lineup.
Ozgon
Not enough data to predict the Ozgon lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 07:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alga have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ozgon have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Alay(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ilbirs(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Muras United(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Asiagoal(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Kara-Balta(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Asia Talas(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Asiagoal(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Bars(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Dordoi Bishkek(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Abdish-Ata(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Alga wins, 1 draw, 2 Ozgon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Ozgon 2-2 Alga | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Ozgon 1-0 Alga | Premier League |
| May 16, 2025 | Alga 1-2 Ozgon | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Alga score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ozgon score 2.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alga | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Ozgon | 2.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alga sit 2nd in Premier League (56 points from 27 matches) and Ozgon sit 3rd (54 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Alga | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 54 | 28 | 56 |
| 3 | Ozgon | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 56 | 33 | 54 |
A question about Alga vs Ozgon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alga vs Ozgon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alga the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Ozgon.
- Where and when is Alga vs Ozgon played?
- Alga vs Ozgon is played on October 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dordoy, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.