Kara-Balta vs Alay: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Manas, Kara-Balta
The Footlab AI model makes Alay the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Kara-Balta. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,319 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kara-Balta vs Alay?
Alay is a heavy favourite: 1,543 Elo points against 1,206, a 337-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kara-Balta vs Alay
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kara-Balta
Not enough data to predict the Kara-Balta lineup.
Alay
Not enough data to predict the Alay lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 03:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kara-Balta have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Alay have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Ilbirs(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bishkek City(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Alga(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Asia Talas(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Alga(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Asia Talas(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Abdish-Ata(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Muras United(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bars(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kara-Balta win, 3 draws, 2 Alay wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Alay 1-1 Kara-Balta | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Kara-Balta 2-0 Alay | Premier League |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Alay 2-1 Kara-Balta | Premier League |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Alay 1-1 Kara-Balta | Premier League |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Alay 2-2 Kara-Balta | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Kara-Balta 0-1 Alay | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kara-Balta score 0.8 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Alay score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kara-Balta | 0.8 | 2.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Alay | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kara-Balta sit 16th in Premier League (9 points from 26 matches) and Alay sit 6th (41 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Alay | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 34 | 41 |
| 16 | Kara-Balta | 26 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 69 | 9 |
A question about Kara-Balta vs Alay?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kara-Balta vs Alay?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alay the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Kara-Balta.
- Where and when is Kara-Balta vs Alay played?
- Kara-Balta vs Alay is played on October 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Manas, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.