Bars vs Toktogul: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Bars the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Toktogul. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,354 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bars vs Toktogul?
Bars starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (1,642 vs 1,395).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bars vs Toktogul
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bars
Not enough data to predict the Bars lineup.
Toktogul
Not enough data to predict the Toktogul lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bars have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Toktogul have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Abdish-Ata(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Dordoi Bishkek(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Ozgon(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Ilbirs(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Alay(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Abdish-Ata(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Asia Talas(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Talant(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kara-Balta(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Bars win, 0 draws, 0 Toktogul wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Toktogul 1-2 Bars | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bars score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Toktogul score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bars | 3.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| Toktogul | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bars sit 1st in Premier League (58 points from 27 matches) and Toktogul sit 10th (31 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bars | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 72 | 36 | 58 |
| 10 | Toktogul | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 40 | 31 |
A question about Bars vs Toktogul?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bars vs Toktogul?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bars the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Toktogul.
- Where and when is Bars vs Toktogul played?
- Bars vs Toktogul is played on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.