Match

Algar vs San Javier: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar

AlgarSan Javier

The Footlab model makes Algar the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for San Javier. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Algar vs San Javier?

Algar win38 %
Draw29 %
San Javier win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; San Javier have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Algar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2024Plus Ultra(home)4-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 5, 2024Bullense(away)0-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 1, 2024Alcantarilla(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2024Cieza(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 21, 2024El Palmar(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Algar vs San Javier?
The Footlab model makes Algar the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for San Javier.
Where and when is Algar vs San Javier played?
Algar vs San Javier is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Algar and San Javier

Ready to know everything about football?