Where and when is Santomera vs Balsicas Atlético played?

Santomera vs Balsicas Atlético is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Santomera vs Balsicas Atlético: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera

Santomera

Balsicas Atlético

The Footlab model makes Santomera the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Balsicas Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santomera vs Balsicas Atlético?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Santomera (1,684) and Balsicas Atlético (1,696).

Santomera win38 %

Draw28 %

Balsicas Atlético win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Balsicas Atlético have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santomera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cieza(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Olímpico Totana(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Cartagena LU II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026	Real Murcia II(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Yeclano II(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Balsicas Atlético
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Yeclano II(away)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	SFC Minerva(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Águilas II(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026	UCAM Murcia II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Santomera win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Balsicas Atlético win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2026	Balsicas Atlético 2-1 Santomera	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 19, 2025	Santomera 0-1 Balsicas Atlético	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Jan 19, 2025	Balsicas Atlético 1-4 Santomera	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 7, 2024	Santomera 3-2 Balsicas Atlético	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Balsicas Atlético vs Santomera on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Santomera score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Balsicas Atlético score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Santomera	1.1	2.1	1	8/15	10/15
Balsicas Atlético	0.9	1.0	4	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santomera sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (32 points from 34 matches) and Balsicas Atlético sit 13th (36 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Balsicas Atlético	34	9	10	15	38	46	36
15	Santomera	34	8	8	18	38	64	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santomera vs Balsicas Atlético?: The Footlab model makes Santomera the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Balsicas Atlético.
Where and when is Santomera vs Balsicas Atlético played?: Santomera vs Balsicas Atlético is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.