Alhaurino vs Atletico de Marbella: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 · Matchday 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, Alhaurín el Grande
The Footlab AI model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Atletico de Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,585 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alhaurino vs Atletico de Marbella?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Alhaurino (1,669) and Atletico de Marbella (1,679).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alhaurino vs Atletico de Marbella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alhaurino
4-3-3- AAlejandro Guerrero Martín
- II. Ndiaye
- DDiogo Rodrigues de Sousa
- MMiguel Ángel Lupiáñez Gómez
- VVíctor Rueda Pérez
- MManuel González Mora
- DDavid Sánchez Molina
- RRaúl Fernández Ortega
- FFran Moreno
- AAlejandro Jiménez Rios
- JJosé Manuel Pérez García
Atletico de Marbella
Not enough data to predict the Atletico de Marbella lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 02:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alhaurino have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Atletico de Marbella have 1, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Churriana Vega(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Almería II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Huétor Vega(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Alhaurino score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico de Marbella score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alhaurino | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Atletico de Marbella | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 4/10 | 3/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alhaurino sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (9 points from 10 matches) and Atletico de Marbella sit 15th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Alhaurino | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Alhaurino vs Atletico de Marbella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alhaurino vs Atletico de Marbella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Atletico de Marbella.
- Where and when is Alhaurino vs Atletico de Marbella played?
- Alhaurino vs Atletico de Marbella is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.