Match

Melilla vs Motril: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Álvarez Claro, Melilla

MelillaMotril

The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Motril. The most likely score is 1-1. If Melilla wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Melilla vs Motril?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Melilla (1,863) and Motril (1,859).

47%29%24%
Melilla winDrawMotril win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Melilla vs Motril

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Melilla

4-3-3
  1. 10Víctor Morillo
  2. 21Carlos Bravo
  3. BB. Kavtaradze
  1. AAdrián Tovar
  2. 19Armando
  3. 19Iván Ramos
  1. 4Manuel Galán
  2. 3Fran Varela
  3. 3Lolo González
  4. DDiego Ceballos
  1. EEdua Loscos

Motril

Not enough data to predict the Motril lineup.

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melilla have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Motril have 5, 7 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Melilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Atlético Porcuna(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026UD San Pedro(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Alhaurino(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Malaga City(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Torre del Mar(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Motril
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Cantoria(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Atlético Porcuna(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026UD San Pedro(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Alhaurino(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Malaga City(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

How many goals should we expect?

Melilla score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Motril score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Melilla1.61.147/158/15
Motril1.10.958/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Melilla sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (18 points from 7 matches) and Motril sit 4th (15 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Melilla760113518
4Motril743011515

A question about Melilla vs Motril?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Melilla vs Motril?
The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Motril.
Where and when is Melilla vs Motril played?
Melilla vs Motril is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Álvarez Claro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Melilla and Motril

Ready to know everything about football?