Mancha Real vs Granada II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, Mancha Real
The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Granada II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mancha Real wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mancha Real vs Granada II?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Mancha Real (1,667) and Granada II (1,754).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mancha Real vs Granada II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mancha Real
Not enough data to predict the Mancha Real lineup.
Granada II
Not enough data to predict the Granada II lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mancha Real have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Granada II have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Almería II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Málaga II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cantoria(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mancha Real win, 1 draw, 4 Granada II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Granada II 2-2 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Mancha Real 2-0 Granada II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Granada II 3-2 Mancha Real | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Mancha Real 0-1 Granada II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Granada II 3-0 Mancha Real | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Mancha Real 0-2 Granada II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Granada II vs Mancha Real on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mancha Real score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Granada II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mancha Real | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Granada II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mancha Real sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (2 points from 6 matches) and Granada II sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 17 | Mancha Real | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
A question about Mancha Real vs Granada II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mancha Real vs Granada II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Granada II.
- Where and when is Mancha Real vs Granada II played?
- Mancha Real vs Granada II is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.