Churriana Vega vs Marbelli: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 · Matchday 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Churriana Vega the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Marbelli. The most likely score is 0-0. If Churriana Vega wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,080 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Churriana Vega vs Marbelli?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Churriana Vega (1,846) and Marbelli (1,849).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Churriana Vega vs Marbelli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Churriana Vega
Not enough data to predict the Churriana Vega lineup.
Marbelli
Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Churriana Vega have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Marbelli have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Almería II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Granada II(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Málaga II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cantoria(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Málaga II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Churriana Vega wins, 0 draws, 0 Marbelli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Marbelli 1-2 Churriana Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Churriana Vega 1-0 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Marbelli vs Churriana Vega on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Churriana Vega score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Marbelli score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Churriana Vega | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Marbelli | 0.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Churriana Vega sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (15 points from 10 matches) and Marbelli sit 8th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Churriana Vega | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Marbelli | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 |
A question about Churriana Vega vs Marbelli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Churriana Vega vs Marbelli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Churriana Vega the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Marbelli.
- Where and when is Churriana Vega vs Marbelli played?
- Churriana Vega vs Marbelli is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026Atlético PorcunavsTorre del Mar
- Nov 29, 2026Granada IIvsMancha Real
- Nov 29, 2026Almería IIvsArenas Armilla
- Nov 29, 2026MotrilvsMelilla
- Nov 29, 2026Málaga IIvsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Nov 29, 2026UD San PedrovsMalaga City
- Nov 29, 2026Atletico de MarbellavsAlhaurino
- Nov 29, 2026CantoriavsHuétor Vega