Where and when is Alhaurino vs Marbelli played?

Alhaurino vs Marbelli is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alhaurino vs Marbelli: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, Alhaurín el Grande

Alhaurino

Marbelli

The Footlab model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Marbelli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alhaurino vs Marbelli?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Alhaurino (1,706) and Marbelli (1,777).

Alhaurino win40 %

Draw31 %

Marbelli win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alhaurino have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Marbelli have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alhaurino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Mancha Real(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Arenas Armilla(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Churriana Vega(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Torreperogil(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026	Atlético Porcuna(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Marbelli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Granada II(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Huétor Vega(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Huétor Tájar(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 11, 2026	UD Melilla II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Alhaurino win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Marbelli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 18, 2026	Marbelli 2-1 Alhaurino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 6, 2025	Alhaurino 1-2 Marbelli	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Marbelli vs Alhaurino on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Marbelli score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alhaurino	1.2	1.0	5	7/15	6/15
Marbelli	0.9	0.7	7	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alhaurino sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (43 points from 34 matches) and Marbelli sit 6th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Marbelli	34	14	9	11	36	28	51
12	Alhaurino	34	11	10	13	41	41	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alhaurino vs Marbelli?: The Footlab model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Marbelli.
Where and when is Alhaurino vs Marbelli played?: Alhaurino vs Marbelli is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.