Alhaurino vs Marbelli: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, Alhaurín el Grande
The Footlab AI model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Marbelli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alhaurino wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alhaurino vs Marbelli?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Alhaurino (1,726) and Marbelli (1,789).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alhaurino vs Marbelli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alhaurino
4-3-3- AAlejandro Guerrero Martín
- II. Ndiaye
- DDiogo Rodrigues de Sousa
- MMiguel Ángel Lupiáñez Gómez
- VVíctor Rueda Pérez
- MManuel González Mora
- DDavid Sánchez Molina
- RRaúl Fernández Ortega
- FFran Moreno
- AAlejandro Jiménez Rios
- JJosé Manuel Pérez García
Marbelli
Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alhaurino have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Marbelli have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Melilla(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Motril(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Alhaurino win, 0 draws, 2 Marbelli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marbelli 0-2 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Marbelli 2-1 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Alhaurino 1-2 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Marbelli vs Alhaurino on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marbelli score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alhaurino | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Marbelli | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alhaurino sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (8 points from 7 matches) and Marbelli sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Alhaurino vs Marbelli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alhaurino vs Marbelli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Marbelli.
- Where and when is Alhaurino vs Marbelli played?
- Alhaurino vs Marbelli is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 7, 2027Atlético PorcunavsMotril
- Feb 7, 2027Huétor VegavsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Feb 7, 2027Málaga IIvsAlmería II
- Feb 7, 2027Torre del MarvsMancha Real
- Feb 7, 2027UD San PedrovsMelilla
- Feb 7, 2027Malaga CityvsArenas Armilla
- Feb 7, 2027Atletico de MarbellavsGranada II
- Feb 7, 2027CantoriavsChurriana Vega