Where and when is Arenas Armilla vs Alhaurino played?

Arenas Armilla vs Alhaurino is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arenas Armilla vs Alhaurino: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal, Armilla

Arenas Armilla

Alhaurino

The Footlab model makes Arenas Armilla the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Alhaurino. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arenas Armilla vs Alhaurino?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Arenas Armilla (1,787) and Alhaurino (1,706).

Arenas Armilla win52 %

Draw28 %

Alhaurino win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Armilla have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Alhaurino have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenas Armilla
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	Peña Deportiva(away)	2-5	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Peña Deportiva(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Motril(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 31, 2026	Motril(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 24, 2026	Torre del Mar(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Alhaurino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Mancha Real(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Arenas Armilla(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Churriana Vega(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Torreperogil(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026	Atlético Porcuna(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Arenas Armilla win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Alhaurino win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Arenas Armilla 0-1 Alhaurino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Jan 14, 2026	Alhaurino 0-0 Arenas Armilla	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Arenas Armilla vs Alhaurino on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arenas Armilla score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arenas Armilla	1.1	1.4	3	8/15	5/15
Alhaurino	1.2	1.0	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arenas Armilla sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (54 points from 34 matches) and Alhaurino sit 12th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Arenas Armilla	34	15	9	10	38	29	54
12	Alhaurino	34	11	10	13	41	41	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arenas Armilla vs Alhaurino?: The Footlab model makes Arenas Armilla the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Alhaurino.
Where and when is Arenas Armilla vs Alhaurino played?: Arenas Armilla vs Alhaurino is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.