Marbelli vs UD San Pedro: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Pedro de Alcántara
The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for UD San Pedro. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marbelli vs UD San Pedro?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Marbelli (1,774) and UD San Pedro (1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marbelli vs UD San Pedro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marbelli
Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.
UD San Pedro
Not enough data to predict the UD San Pedro lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbelli have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; UD San Pedro have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marbelli(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Melilla(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Motril(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Marbelli win, 0 draws, 2 UD San Pedro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD San Pedro 2-0 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UD San Pedro 1-0 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Marbelli 1-0 UD San Pedro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: UD San Pedro vs Marbelli on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marbelli score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; UD San Pedro score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbelli | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| UD San Pedro | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marbelli sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (15 points from 9 matches) and UD San Pedro sit 8th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Marbelli | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 15 |
A question about Marbelli vs UD San Pedro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marbelli vs UD San Pedro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for UD San Pedro.
- Where and when is Marbelli vs UD San Pedro played?
- Marbelli vs UD San Pedro is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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