Where and when is Málaga II vs Arenas Armilla played?

Málaga II vs Arenas Armilla is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Málaga II vs Arenas Armilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, Málaga

Málaga II

Arenas Armilla

The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Arenas Armilla. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Málaga II vs Arenas Armilla?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Málaga II (1,775) and Arenas Armilla (1,783).

Málaga II win44 %

Draw29 %

Arenas Armilla win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Málaga II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Arenas Armilla have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Málaga II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Melilla(home)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Puente Genil(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026	Antoniano(home)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Ucam Murcia(away)	0-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026	Real Jaén(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Arenas Armilla
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	Peña Deportiva(away)	2-5	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Peña Deportiva(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Motril(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 31, 2026	Motril(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 24, 2026	Torre del Mar(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Málaga II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Arenas Armilla win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 26, 2025	Arenas Armilla 3-2 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 15, 2024	Málaga II 3-2 Arenas Armilla	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 1, 2024	Arenas Armilla 0-1 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 17, 2023	Málaga II 1-0 Arenas Armilla	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Feb 5, 2023	Málaga II 2-0 Arenas Armilla	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 9, 2022	Arenas Armilla 2-1 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Arenas Armilla vs Málaga II on Jan 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arenas Armilla score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Málaga II	1.3	2.3	0	13/15	13/15
Arenas Armilla	1.1	1.4	3	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Arenas Armilla	34	15	9	10	38	29	54

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Málaga II vs Arenas Armilla?: The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Arenas Armilla.
Where and when is Málaga II vs Arenas Armilla played?: Málaga II vs Arenas Armilla is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.