Match

Málaga II vs Arenas Armilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, Málaga

Málaga IIArenas Armilla

The Footlab AI model makes Málaga II the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Arenas Armilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Málaga II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,321 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Málaga II vs Arenas Armilla?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Málaga II (1,792) and Arenas Armilla (1,801).

46%29%25%
Málaga II winDrawArenas Armilla win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Málaga II vs Arenas Armilla

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Málaga II

4-3-3
  1. JJuani
  2. JJuanma Hernández
  3. RRubén Sánchez
  1. 32Rafael Garrido
  2. 44Jesús Martin
  3. AAlejandro Valcarce
  1. 38Pablo Arriaza
  2. 32Miguel Ángel
  3. IIván Benito Mancera
  4. ÁÁngel Mateo
  1. 30Andrés Céspedes

Arenas Armilla

Not enough data to predict the Arenas Armilla lineup.

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:29 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Málaga II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Arenas Armilla have 8, 6 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Málaga II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Marbelli(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 31, 2026Melilla(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 25, 2026Motril(away)4-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Churriana Vega(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Almería II(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Cantoria(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 1, 2026Atlético Porcuna(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 25, 2026UD San Pedro(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Alhaurino(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Malaga City(home)5-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Málaga II wins, 0 draws, 2 Arenas Armilla wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 26, 2025Arenas Armilla 3-2 Málaga IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 15, 2024Málaga II 3-2 Arenas ArmillaTercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 1, 2024Arenas Armilla 0-1 Málaga IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 17, 2023Málaga II 1-0 Arenas ArmillaTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Feb 5, 2023Málaga II 2-0 Arenas ArmillaTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 9, 2022Arenas Armilla 2-1 Málaga IITercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Arenas Armilla vs Málaga II on Jan 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Málaga II score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arenas Armilla score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Málaga II1.91.5310/1510/15
Arenas Armilla1.61.078/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Málaga II sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (15 points from 9 matches) and Arenas Armilla sit 2nd (22 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Arenas Armilla1064018822
6Málaga II9432191115

A question about Málaga II vs Arenas Armilla?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Málaga II vs Arenas Armilla?
The Footlab AI model makes Málaga II the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Arenas Armilla.
Where and when is Málaga II vs Arenas Armilla played?
Málaga II vs Arenas Armilla is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Málaga II and Arenas Armilla

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