Cantoria vs Mancha Real: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Cantoria the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Mancha Real. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cantoria vs Mancha Real?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Cantoria (1,707) and Mancha Real (1,655).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cantoria vs Mancha Real
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cantoria
Not enough data to predict the Cantoria lineup.
Mancha Real
Not enough data to predict the Mancha Real lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Cantoria have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Mancha Real have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Churriana Vega(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Almería II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Málaga II(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cantoria score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 6; Mancha Real score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cantoria | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 3/6 | 2/6 |
| Mancha Real | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cantoria sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (3 points from 6 matches) and Mancha Real sit 17th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cantoria | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 17 | Mancha Real | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
A question about Cantoria vs Mancha Real?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cantoria vs Mancha Real?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cantoria the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Mancha Real.
- Where and when is Cantoria vs Mancha Real played?
- Cantoria vs Mancha Real is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2026Atlético PorcunavsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Nov 15, 2026Granada IIvsMarbelli
- Nov 15, 2026Almería IIvsMelilla
- Nov 15, 2026Málaga IIvsArenas Armilla
- Nov 15, 2026AlhaurinovsTorre del Mar
- Nov 15, 2026UD San PedrovsHuétor Vega
- Nov 15, 2026Churriana VegavsMotril
- Nov 15, 2026Atletico de MarbellavsMalaga City