Where and when is Almería II vs Melilla played?

Almería II vs Melilla is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Almería II vs Melilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, Almería

Almería II

Melilla

The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Melilla. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almería II vs Melilla?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Almería II (1,751) and Melilla (1,808).

Almería II win38 %

Draw29 %

Melilla win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almería II have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Melilla have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almería II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Águilas(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Deportiva Minera(home)	3-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Yeclano(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 11, 2026	Estepona(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Lorca Deportiva(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Melilla
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Málaga II(away)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Linares Deportivo(home)	2-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Recreativo Huelva(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Águilas(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Estepona(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Almería II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Melilla win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Melilla 3-0 Almería II	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 14, 2025	Almería II 1-1 Melilla	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Melilla vs Almería II on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almería II score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Melilla score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Almería II	0.9	1.7	0	9/15	6/15
Melilla	1.2	1.5	2	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almería II vs Melilla?: The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Melilla.
Where and when is Almería II vs Melilla played?: Almería II vs Melilla is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.