Match

Almería II vs Melilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, Almería

Almería IIMelilla

The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Almería II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Melilla wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,151 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almería II vs Melilla?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Almería II (1,764) and Melilla (1,809).

34%30%36%
Almería II winDrawMelilla win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Almería II vs Melilla

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Almería II

4-3-3
  1. 7Luis Lara
  2. 35Lorenzo Sánchez
  3. MMarçal Casadevall Sánchez
  1. 37Joan Gázquez Llanes
  2. 21Antonio Jesús
  3. HHugo Martin
  1. RRené Pérez
  2. 26Paco Sanz
  3. 29Nacho Vila
  4. EEdu Pla
  1. 31Bruno Iribarne

Melilla

4-3-3
  1. 10Víctor Morillo
  2. 21Carlos Bravo
  3. BB. Kavtaradze
  1. AAdrián Tovar
  2. 19Armando
  3. 19Iván Ramos
  1. 4Manuel Galán
  2. 3Fran Varela
  3. 3Lolo González
  4. DDiego Ceballos
  1. EEdua Loscos

Computed on November 9, 2026 at 08:09 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almería II have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Melilla have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almería II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Motril(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 1, 2026Churriana Vega(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 25, 2026Atletico de Marbella(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Granada II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Málaga II(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Melilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Granada II(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 31, 2026Málaga II(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 24, 2026Cantoria(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Atlético Porcuna(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026UD San Pedro(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Almería II wins, 1 draw, 1 Melilla win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Melilla 3-0 Almería IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 14, 2025Almería II 1-1 MelillaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Melilla vs Almería II on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almería II score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Melilla score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Almería II1.31.158/156/15
Melilla1.51.156/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almería II sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (19 points from 10 matches) and Melilla sit 1st (23 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Melilla1072117723
3Almería II1054114619

A question about Almería II vs Melilla?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almería II vs Melilla?
The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Almería II.
Where and when is Almería II vs Melilla played?
Almería II vs Melilla is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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