Allerød vs Vanløse: prediction and stats
DBU PokalenRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Allerød Idrætspark, Allerød
The Footlab model makes Vanløse the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Allerød. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Allerød vs Vanløse?
Vanløse starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,684 vs 1,576).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Allerød have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Vanløse have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Skjold Birkerød(away) | 4-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Mar 21, 2026 | GVI(away) | 2-0 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Gørslev(home) | 3-0 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Ringsted(away) | 1-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Fredensborg BI(home) | 0-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ringsted(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ASA Aarhus(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Næsby(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Køge Nord(away) | 4-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Helsingor(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Allerød win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Vanløse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | Allerød 1-3 Vanløse | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Vanløse 2-1 Allerød | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Allerød 0-2 Vanløse | DBU Pokalen |
| May 7, 2016 | Vanløse 2-1 Allerød | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2015 | Allerød 2-3 Vanløse | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Allerød score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vanløse score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allerød | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Vanløse | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Allerød vs Vanløse?
- The Footlab model makes Vanløse the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Allerød.
- Where and when is Allerød vs Vanløse played?
- Allerød vs Vanløse is played on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Allerød Idrætspark, in the DBU Pokalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.