Vatanspor vs Aalborg: prediction and stats
DBU PokalenRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Bøgeskov Idrætsanlæg, Fredericia
The Footlab model makes Aalborg the favourite at 91%, against 6% for a draw and 3% for Vatanspor. The most likely score is 0-4.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vatanspor vs Aalborg?
Aalborg is a heavy favourite: 1,819 Elo points against 1,456 — a 363-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vatanspor have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Aalborg have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nørresundby(home) | 4-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Aarhus Fremad(home) | 0-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 1, 2022 | Aarhus(home) | 0-8 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 2, 2022 | Lyseng(home) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 8, 2020 | Aarhus Fremad(home) | 1-5 | DBU Pokalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hobro(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Fredericia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kolding IF(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Holstebro(away) | 3-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Vatanspor score 1.3 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aalborg score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vatanspor | 1.3 | 3.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Aalborg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vatanspor vs Aalborg?
- The Footlab model makes Aalborg the favourite at 91%, against 6% for a draw and 3% for Vatanspor.
- Where and when is Vatanspor vs Aalborg played?
- Vatanspor vs Aalborg is played on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Bøgeskov Idrætsanlæg, in the DBU Pokalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.