FC Helsingor vs Hørsholm-Usserød: prediction and stats
DBU PokalenRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Helsingør Ny Stadion OPV, Helsingør
The Footlab model makes Hørsholm-Usserød the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for FC Helsingor. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Helsingor vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate FC Helsingor (1,621) and Hørsholm-Usserød (1,648).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Helsingor have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Hørsholm-Usserød have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Holstebro(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Frem(home) | 1-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ringsted(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Vallensbæk(away) | 4-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vanløse(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sundby(away) | 4-4 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ishøj(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Føroyar(away) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Frem(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Holstebro(home) | 2-3 | 3. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Helsingor score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hørsholm-Usserød score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Helsingor | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Hørsholm-Usserød | 1.7 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Helsingor vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
- The Footlab model makes Hørsholm-Usserød the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for FC Helsingor.
- Where and when is FC Helsingor vs Hørsholm-Usserød played?
- FC Helsingor vs Hørsholm-Usserød is played on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Helsingør Ny Stadion OPV, in the DBU Pokalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.