OKS vs Middelfart: prediction and stats
DBU PokalenRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)OKSON-Park, Odense C
The Footlab model makes Middelfart the favourite at 82%, against 11% for a draw and 7% for OKS. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OKS vs Middelfart?
Middelfart starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,564).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OKS have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Middelfart have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Varde(away) | 2-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Esbjerg II(away) | 1-7 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Tarup-Paarup(home) | 2-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Horsens II(away) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | SfB-Oure(home) | 2-3 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nykobing FC(home) | 2-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roskilde(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Brabrand(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bredballe(away) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Thisted FC(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 OKS win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Middelfart win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2025 | OKS 2-3 Middelfart | DBU Pokalen |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Middelfart 3-1 OKS | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Middelfart 2-0 OKS | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Middelfart 3-1 OKS | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 10, 2020 | Middelfart 2-2 OKS | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 19, 2012 | OKS 2-2 Middelfart | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
OKS score 2.2 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Middelfart score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKS | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
| Middelfart | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OKS vs Middelfart?
- The Footlab model makes Middelfart the favourite at 82%, against 11% for a draw and 7% for OKS.
- Where and when is OKS vs Middelfart played?
- OKS vs Middelfart is played on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at OKSON-Park, in the DBU Pokalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.