SGI vs Aarhus Fremad: prediction and stats
DBU PokalenRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Aarhus Fremad the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for SGI. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SGI vs Aarhus Fremad?
Aarhus Fremad is a heavy favourite: 1,856 Elo points against 1,493 — a 362-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, SGI have 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Aarhus Fremad have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Aabenraa(away) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Kolding IF(home) | 1-4 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 8, 2024 | BiH Odense(away) | 4-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Oct 5, 2022 | Middelfart(home) | 0-6 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Jammerbugt(home) | 0-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Fredericia(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hillerød(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | HB Koge(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ringkøbing(away) | 4-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Aalborg(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
SGI score 1.1 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 10; Aarhus Fremad score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGI | 1.1 | 2.6 | 1 | 5/10 | 6/10 |
| Aarhus Fremad | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SGI vs Aarhus Fremad?
- The Footlab model makes Aarhus Fremad the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for SGI.
- Where and when is SGI vs Aarhus Fremad played?
- SGI vs Aarhus Fremad is played on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC), in the DBU Pokalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.