Avarta vs Hillerød: prediction and stats
DBU PokalenRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Tømrermester Jim Jensens Park, Rødovre
The Footlab model makes Hillerød the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Avarta. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avarta vs Hillerød?
Hillerød starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avarta have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Hillerød have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | GVI(away) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Brønshøj(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Såby(home) | 1-0 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | LSF(away) | 2-0 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Espergærde(away) | 0-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vejle(away) | 4-5 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Vaeggerlose(away) | 12-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Esbjerg(home) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Avarta win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Hillerød win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | Avarta 0-3 Hillerød | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Avarta 0-2 Hillerød | 2nd Division - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Hillerød 1-0 Avarta | 2nd Division - Group 2 |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Hillerød 0-3 Avarta | 2. Division |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Avarta 2-3 Hillerød | 2nd Division - Group 2 |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Hillerød 1-1 Avarta | 2nd Division - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Avarta score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hillerød score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avarta | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Hillerød | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avarta vs Hillerød?
- The Footlab model makes Hillerød the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Avarta.
- Where and when is Avarta vs Hillerød played?
- Avarta vs Hillerød is played on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Tømrermester Jim Jensens Park, in the DBU Pokalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.