Match

Hoek vs RKAV Volendam: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Denoek, Hoek

HoekRKAV Volendam

The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for RKAV Volendam. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hoek vs RKAV Volendam?

Hoek starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,805).

Hoek win66 %
Draw19 %
RKAV Volendam win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoek have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; RKAV Volendam have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hoek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Katwijk(away)1-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Koninklijke HFC(home)3-1Tweede Divisie
Jul 15, 2026NAC Breda(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026De Treffers(away)2-2Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026Rijnsburgse Boys(home)2-0Tweede Divisie
RKAV Volendam
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Spakenburg(home)2-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Quick Boys(away)0-5Tweede Divisie
Jul 5, 2026FC Volendam(home)2-3Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Rijnsburgse Boys(away)0-7Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026Barendrecht(home)5-2Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Hoek win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 RKAV Volendam win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Hoek 1-0 RKAV VolendamTweede Divisie
Sep 20, 2025RKAV Volendam 2-1 HoekTweede Divisie
May 6, 2023Hoek 3-2 RKAV VolendamDerde Divisie
Nov 12, 2022RKAV Volendam 0-1 HoekDerde Divisie

Last archived meeting: Hoek vs RKAV Volendam on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; RKAV Volendam score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hoek1.91.4311/1510/15
RKAV Volendam1.42.036/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hoek sit 6th in Tweede Divisie (4 points from 2 matches) and RKAV Volendam sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hoek2110424
12RKAV Volendam2101263

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hoek vs RKAV Volendam?
The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for RKAV Volendam.
Where and when is Hoek vs RKAV Volendam played?
Hoek vs RKAV Volendam is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Denoek, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hoek and RKAV Volendam

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