Where and when is Almería II vs Arenas Armilla played?

Almería II vs Arenas Armilla is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Almería II vs Arenas Armilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, Almería

Almería II

Arenas Armilla

The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Arenas Armilla. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almería II vs Arenas Armilla?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Almería II (1,751) and Arenas Armilla (1,783).

Almería II win41 %

Draw30 %

Arenas Armilla win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almería II have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Arenas Armilla have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almería II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Águilas(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Deportiva Minera(home)	3-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Yeclano(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 11, 2026	Estepona(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Lorca Deportiva(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Arenas Armilla
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	Peña Deportiva(away)	2-5	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Peña Deportiva(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Motril(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 31, 2026	Motril(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 24, 2026	Torre del Mar(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Almería II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arenas Armilla win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 10, 2024	Arenas Armilla 1-3 Almería II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 29, 2023	Almería II 2-0 Arenas Armilla	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Feb 11, 2023	Arenas Armilla 1-0 Almería II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 16, 2022	Almería II 4-0 Arenas Armilla	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Arenas Armilla vs Almería II on Mar 10, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Almería II score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arenas Armilla score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Almería II	0.9	1.7	0	9/15	6/15
Arenas Armilla	1.1	1.4	3	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Arenas Armilla	34	15	9	10	38	29	54

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almería II vs Arenas Armilla?: The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Arenas Armilla.
Where and when is Almería II vs Arenas Armilla played?: Almería II vs Arenas Armilla is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.