Match

Granada II vs Mancha Real: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF, Granada

Granada IIMancha Real

The Footlab model makes Granada II the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Mancha Real. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Granada II vs Mancha Real?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Granada II (1,721) and Mancha Real (1,691).

Granada II win52 %
Draw26 %
Mancha Real win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada II have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Mancha Real have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Granada II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Mijas Las Lagunas(home)4-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026Marbelli(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026Mancha Real(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 18, 2026Arenas Armilla(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026Churriana Vega(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Mancha Real
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Alhaurino(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026Granada II(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026Huétor Vega(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 11, 2026Huétor Tájar(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Granada II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mancha Real win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Granada II 2-2 Mancha RealTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 20, 2025Mancha Real 2-0 Granada IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 16, 2023Granada II 3-2 Mancha RealSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 4, 2022Mancha Real 0-1 Granada IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Feb 20, 2022Granada II 3-0 Mancha RealSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 3, 2021Mancha Real 0-2 Granada IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Granada II vs Mancha Real on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Granada II score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mancha Real score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Granada II1.71.7211/159/15
Mancha Real1.01.066/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Granada II sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (44 points from 34 matches) and Mancha Real sit 14th (37 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Granada II34101410494744
14Mancha Real3491015303837

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Granada II vs Mancha Real?
The Footlab model makes Granada II the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Mancha Real.
Where and when is Granada II vs Mancha Real played?
Granada II vs Mancha Real is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Granada II and Mancha Real

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