Almería II vs Huétor Vega: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, Almería
The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Huétor Vega. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almería II vs Huétor Vega?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Almería II (1,755) and Huétor Vega (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almería II have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Huétor Vega have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 3-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Martos(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Marbelli(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Almería II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Huétor Vega win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | Huétor Vega 0-1 Almería II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Almería II 1-0 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Almería II 0-1 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Huétor Vega 3-2 Almería II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Huétor Vega 2-2 Almería II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Almería II 1-0 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Huétor Vega vs Almería II on Mar 31, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Almería II score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Huétor Vega score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería II | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Huétor Vega | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Huétor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 42 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almería II vs Huétor Vega?
- The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Huétor Vega.
- Where and when is Almería II vs Huétor Vega played?
- Almería II vs Huétor Vega is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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