Marbelli vs Atletico de Marbella: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Pedro de Alcántara
The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Atletico de Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marbelli vs Atletico de Marbella?
On Elo ratings, Marbelli has 1,801 points and Atletico de Marbella 1,724.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marbelli vs Atletico de Marbella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marbelli
Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.
Atletico de Marbella
Not enough data to predict the Atletico de Marbella lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbelli have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico de Marbella have 1, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Huétor Vega(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Málaga II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marbelli score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico de Marbella score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbelli | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Atletico de Marbella | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 3/7 | 2/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marbelli sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (13 points from 7 matches) and Atletico de Marbella sit 15th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Marbelli vs Atletico de Marbella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marbelli vs Atletico de Marbella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Atletico de Marbella.
- Where and when is Marbelli vs Atletico de Marbella played?
- Marbelli vs Atletico de Marbella is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.