Málaga II vs Malaga City: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, Málaga
The Footlab AI model makes Málaga II the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,192 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Málaga II vs Malaga City?
Málaga II starts as the favourite with a 283-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,508).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Málaga II vs Malaga City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Málaga II
4-3-3- JJuani
- JJuanma Hernández
- RRubén Sánchez
- 32Rafael Garrido
- 44Jesús Martin
- AAlejandro Valcarce
- 38Pablo Arriaza
- 32Miguel Ángel
- IIván Benito Mancera
- ÁÁngel Mateo
- 30Andrés Céspedes
Malaga City
4-3-3- JJuanfran
- RR. Gómez
- JJosu Ozkoidi
- ÓÓscar Puente
- FF. Irisarri
- AAndrés del RÃo
- 2Chechu
- RRaúl Fernández Ortega
- JJuanjo
- AAntonio Contreras Lozano
- FFernando Padilla
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 08:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Málaga II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Malaga City have 2, 0 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Melilla(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Motril(away) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almería II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Torre del Mar(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Huétor Vega(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Málaga II wins, 2 draws, 1 Malaga City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | Malaga City 1-1 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Málaga II 3-0 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Málaga II 3-0 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Malaga City 1-3 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Malaga City 1-0 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Málaga II 1-1 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Malaga City vs Málaga II on Apr 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Málaga II score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Malaga City score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga II | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Malaga City | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Málaga II sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (15 points from 9 matches) and Malaga City sit 18th (0 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Málaga II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 15 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 24 | 0 |
A question about Málaga II vs Malaga City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Málaga II vs Malaga City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Málaga II the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Malaga City.
- Where and when is Málaga II vs Malaga City played?
- Málaga II vs Malaga City is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027MelillavsArenas Armilla
- Apr 25, 2027Atlético PorcunavsUD San Pedro
- Apr 25, 2027Granada IIvsTorre del Mar
- Apr 25, 2027Almería IIvsHuétor Vega
- Apr 25, 2027MotrilvsMancha Real
- Apr 25, 2027MarbellivsAtletico de Marbella
- Apr 25, 2027Churriana VegavsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Apr 25, 2027CantoriavsAlhaurino