Match

Melilla vs Arenas Armilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Álvarez Claro, Melilla

MelillaArenas Armilla

The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Arenas Armilla. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,045 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Melilla vs Arenas Armilla?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Melilla (1,842) and Arenas Armilla (1,827).

48%29%23%
Melilla winDrawArenas Armilla win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Melilla vs Arenas Armilla

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Melilla

4-3-3
  1. 10Víctor Morillo
  2. 21Carlos Bravo
  3. BB. Kavtaradze
  1. AAdrián Tovar
  2. 19Armando
  3. 19Iván Ramos
  1. 4Manuel Galán
  2. 3Fran Varela
  3. 3Lolo González
  4. DDiego Ceballos
  1. EEdua Loscos

Arenas Armilla

Not enough data to predict the Arenas Armilla lineup.

Computed on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melilla have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Arenas Armilla have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Melilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Atlético Porcuna(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026UD San Pedro(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Alhaurino(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Malaga City(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Torre del Mar(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Alhaurino(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Malaga City(home)5-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Torre del Mar(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Huétor Vega(home)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

How many goals should we expect?

Melilla score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arenas Armilla score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Melilla1.61.147/158/15
Arenas Armilla1.51.168/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Melilla sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (18 points from 7 matches) and Arenas Armilla sit 3rd (15 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Melilla760113518
3Arenas Armilla743015715

A question about Melilla vs Arenas Armilla?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Melilla vs Arenas Armilla?
The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Arenas Armilla.
Where and when is Melilla vs Arenas Armilla played?
Melilla vs Arenas Armilla is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Álvarez Claro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Melilla and Arenas Armilla

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