Almeria vs Las Palmas: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almería
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Las Palmas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,445 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almeria vs Las Palmas?
On Elo ratings, Almeria has 2,094 points and Las Palmas 1,997.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almeria vs Las Palmas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 29S. Džodić
- 33Quim Junyent
- 18F. Bonini
- 2Marcos Luna
- 3Álex Muñoz
- 5Jorge Pulido
- 1Andrés Fernández
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 10Jesé
- 14Manu Fuster
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 24Iván Jaime
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 12E. Loiodice
- 4Álex Suárez
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 15Juan Herzog
- 23A. Rodriguez
- 13José Caro
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almeria have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Las Palmas have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 2-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 27, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Almeria wins, 2 draws, 2 Las Palmas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Almeria 1-2 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Las Palmas 0-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Las Palmas 0-1 Almeria | La Liga |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Almeria 1-2 Las Palmas | La Liga |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Almeria 0-0 Las Palmas | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 9, 2022 | Las Palmas 1-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Almeria vs Las Palmas on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Almeria score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Las Palmas | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almeria sit 2nd in Segunda División (26 points from 12 matches) and Las Palmas sit 11th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Almeria | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 26 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 17 |
A question about Almeria vs Las Palmas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almeria vs Las Palmas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Las Palmas.
- Where and when is Almeria vs Las Palmas played?
- Almeria vs Las Palmas is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.