Las Palmas vs Girona: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Girona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Las Palmas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Girona?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Las Palmas (1,977) and Girona (2,041).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Palmas vs Girona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 10Jesé
- 14Manu Fuster
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 12E. Loiodice
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 24Iván Jaime
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 13José Caro
Girona
4-4-2- 9Abel Ruiz
- 19V. Vanat
- 24I. Gonzalez
- 23Carles Pérez
- 8Fran Beltrán
- 22Y. Asprilla
- 11Álex Moreno
- 16Alejandro Francés
- 4Javier Boñar
- 5David López
- 13P. Gazzaniga
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Girona have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Las Palmas win, 0 draws, 5 Girona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Girona 5-2 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Girona 2-1 Las Palmas | La Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Las Palmas 1-0 Girona | La Liga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Las Palmas 0-2 Girona | La Liga |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Girona 1-0 Las Palmas | La Liga |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Las Palmas 1-3 Girona | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Girona score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Girona | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas sit 16th in Segunda División (11 points from 9 matches) and Girona sit 7th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Girona | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 15 |
| 16 | Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 11 |
A question about Las Palmas vs Girona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Girona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Girona.
- Where and when is Las Palmas vs Girona played?
- Las Palmas vs Girona is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.