Tenerife vs Burgos: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, Santa Cruz de Tenerife (Tenerife)
The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Burgos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tenerife wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tenerife vs Burgos?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Tenerife (2,019) and Burgos (2,031).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tenerife vs Burgos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tenerife
4-4-2- 18Enric Gallego
- 17C. Gomis
- 10Nacho Gil
- 29Daniel Fernández
- 20M. Pittón
- 15Fabricio
- 2David Rodríguez
- 12A. Landázuri
- 19César Álvarez
- 4José León
- 1Dani Martín
Burgos
4-4-2- 7Jon Karrikaburu
- 16Curro Sánchez
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 14David González
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 4P. Galdames
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 2Álex
- 13Ander Cantero
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tenerife have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Burgos have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tenerife wins, 2 draws, 1 Burgos win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Tenerife 0-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Burgos 1-0 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| May 26, 2024 | Burgos 1-1 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Tenerife 2-1 Burgos | Segunda División |
| May 20, 2023 | Tenerife 2-1 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Burgos 0-1 Tenerife | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Tenerife score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Burgos | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tenerife sit 12th in Segunda División (13 points from 10 matches) and Burgos sit 8th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Burgos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Tenerife vs Burgos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tenerife vs Burgos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Burgos.
- Where and when is Tenerife vs Burgos played?
- Tenerife vs Burgos is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.