Leganes vs Eibar: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Leganes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eibar wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganes vs Eibar?
Eibar starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,837).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leganes vs Eibar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leganes
5-3-2- 21Álvaro Morata
- 17Ismaël Gharbi
- 20Miguel Atienza
- 10Z. Buurmeester
- 8Y. Kechta
- 2Marvel
- 6Lalo Aguilar
- 11Naim García
- 5Ignasi Miquel
- 22Álex Sancris
- 13L. Zidane
Eibar
4-2-3-1- 9Jon Bautista
- 30Aleix Garrido
- 8Ander Madariaga
- 7Malcom Adu
- 10Jon Guruzeta
- 11Jon Magunazelaia
- 23Anaitz Arbilla
- 4Unai Elgezabal
- 24Juan Bernat
- 22Álvaro Rodríguez
- 13Jon Mikel
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganes have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Eibar have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leganes wins, 2 draws, 2 Eibar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Leganes 0-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Eibar 0-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Leganes 0-2 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Eibar 0-1 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Eibar 0-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Leganes 2-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Leganes score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Eibar | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganes sit 16th in Segunda División (11 points from 9 matches) and Eibar sit 2nd (21 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 21 |
| 16 | Leganes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Leganes vs Eibar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Eibar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Leganes.
- Where and when is Leganes vs Eibar played?
- Leganes vs Eibar is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.