Oviedo vs Almeria: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Oviedo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,641 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oviedo vs Almeria?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Oviedo (2,009) and Almeria (2,100).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oviedo vs Almeria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oviedo
4-2-3-1- 18V. Mingo
- 5Y. Didi
- 8Mikel Goti
- 10Alberto Reina
- 16Aritz Aldasoro
- 32Enzo Perez
- 12Dani Calvo
- 15S. Rodriguez
- 23Carlos Domínguez
- 21David Jiménez
- 13Aarón Escandell
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 29S. Džodić
- 33Quim Junyent
- 18F. Bonini
- 2Marcos Luna
- 3Álex Muñoz
- 5Jorge Pulido
- 1Andrés Fernández
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 10:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oviedo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Almeria have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oviedo wins, 3 draws, 0 Almeria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Almeria 2-2 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Oviedo 1-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Almeria 1-2 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Almeria 1-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Oviedo 3-2 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Oviedo 2-0 Almeria | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Oviedo score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Almeria | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oviedo sit 8th in Segunda División (18 points from 11 matches) and Almeria sit 2nd (25 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Almeria | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 25 |
| 8 | Oviedo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
A question about Oviedo vs Almeria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oviedo vs Almeria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Oviedo.
- Where and when is Oviedo vs Almeria played?
- Oviedo vs Almeria is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.