Castellón vs Cadiz: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
The Footlab model makes Castellón the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellón vs Cadiz?
Castellón starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (2,015 vs 1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellón have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Cadiz have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Levante(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Castellón win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cadiz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Castellón 1-1 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Cadiz 2-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Cadiz 0-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Castellón 1-3 Cadiz | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Castellón score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cadiz score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellón | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Cadiz | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellón sit 7th in Segunda División (4 points from 2 matches) and Cadiz sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Castellón | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Cadiz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellón vs Cadiz?
- The Footlab model makes Castellón the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Cadiz.
- Where and when is Castellón vs Cadiz played?
- Castellón vs Cadiz is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Castalia, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.