Castellón vs Cadiz: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellón vs Cadiz?
Castellón starts as the favourite with a 242-point Elo edge (2,089 vs 1,847).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellón vs Cadiz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellón
4-4-2- 10Israel Suero
- 16A. Jakobsen
- 8Barri
- 18Pablo Santiago
- 6M. Orozco
- 21Álvaro Martín
- 5Alberto Jiménez
- 4A. Sienra
- 22J. Mellot
- 14Iñigo Córdoba
- 13R. Matthys
Cadiz
4-2-3-1- 21V. Kopotun
- 24Ibon Sánchez
- 16Antonio Cordero
- 28D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
- 5M. Doué
- 17A. Moueffek
- 4Javi Castro
- 6Manu Fernández
- 3Sergio Arribas
- 27J. Diaz Peregrina
- 1David Gil
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellón have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Cadiz have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Castellón wins, 2 draws, 2 Cadiz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Castellón 1-1 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Cadiz 2-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Cadiz 0-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Castellón 1-3 Cadiz | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Castellón score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cadiz score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellón | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Cadiz | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellón sit 2nd in Segunda División (23 points from 10 matches) and Cadiz sit 20th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Castellón | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 23 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Castellón vs Cadiz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellón vs Cadiz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Cadiz.
- Where and when is Castellón vs Cadiz played?
- Castellón vs Cadiz is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Castalia, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.